What is singularity and when will it happen?


Singularity is a tipping point when the robots powered by artificial intelligence  will become more intelligent than human beings. Singularity is the time  when artificial intelligence won’t require  human intervention to become more intelligent. Computers will be self-sufficient, they will make their own decisions, they will make more computers like themselves, and there may come a point when  they will decide  what is going to be the role of humans  in the affairs of the world rather than humans deciding  what’s going to be the role of computers in the affairs of the world.

This may happen in 30 years, says Softbank Robotics CEO Masayoshi Son. By 2047, he says, a single computer chip will have an IQ of 10,000, which is far more than the most intelligent people on earth.

He says, “One of the chips in our shoes in the next 30 years will be smarter than  our brain. We will be less than our shoes. And we are stepping on them.”

But how has Son arrived at this calculation? How does he know that computers will reach singularity in the next 30 years?  By 2047?

He has concluded this by  equating the neurons in human brain  to the number of transistors in a computer chip.  Neurons help us think, transistors help computers compute and hence, think. By 2018, the number of transistors on  a computer chip will surpass  the number of neurons in our brain. He says there are 30 billion neurons  in our brain. For a layperson, it might be exasperating to think that there may be more than 30 billion transistors on a computer chip. Nanotechnology is making this possible.

Google’s director of Engineering, Ray Kurzweil, has predicted  singularity to take place around 2045.

Is it going to be good?  Will computers more intelligent than human beings be better for the world?  It remains to be seen. After all, it’s humans who are designing these computers and based on this present knowledge and technology, computers will surpass the intelligence of human beings. So it depends on the seeds of intelligence that are being sown right now.

About Amrit Hallan
Amrit Hallan is the founder of TechBakBak.com. He writes about technology not because "he loves to write about technology", he actually believes that it makes the world a better place. On Twitter you can follow him at @amrithallan

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